Before I talk about the recent hurricane’s damage, I wanted to just put a reminder out to anyone living in the path of incoming hurricane Milton.

If you’re going to be running a generator as a result of power loss, having gas is important, but having oil is crucial. With all assumptions in place including proper placement and that your generator hasn’t been flood damaged – it’s important to have a supply of oil – as well as gasoline. In the event of a prolonged power loss, you may have to run your generator continuously. If that is the case, you must change your generator oil out every 2 days or else the generator components will burn itself out despite having gas to run on and you will have no way to get power to your house. Some people change their oil every 3 days but because this is a life-threatening situation, I’d want a margin of safety. I’m assuming Florida PLC or TECO can have most power up within 24-48 hours after the storm passes but it’s a long time to wait without air conditioning or refrigeration – especially for people who are taking care of elderly parents or have pets. I would have 2 or even 3 replacement quantities of oil on hand to bridge you between 4 and 6 days of power loss or intermittent power loss (gosh, I would probably even have more – but that’s because I’m paranoid as sh*t). As always, make sure you know how much oil you need to replace in your unit.

I was, to be frank, stupefied at the damage hurricane Helene wrought. I knew it would bring destruction to the central panhandle, but in no way could I have imagined it would bring the kind of destruction it did to the western carolinas, georgia and eastern Tennessee. Having worked in Appalachia and other mountainous regions, I know first hand what the challenges for people are living in those mountains – on a regular day – but when roads are destroyed and rivers are overflowing, that is……apocalyptic, and that’s not hyperbole. It’s literally a race against time and the elements, a choice between life or death.

It got me thinking really hard about the contingencies I’ve planned for in my life. I know that I can never see everything but seeing the cataclysmic consequences of something completely unpredictable bothered me very much. There’s always something out there that you didn’t plan for and you will meet that contingency, whether you want to or not. What keeps me up at night is that there’s evidence suggesting the contingency is as much a function of what you are preparing for as it is an accumulation of random, tangential occurrences – it is formless until you see it. The only constant you can control is your will to weather it and your emotional readiness.

I regretfully admit that I have no idea where I fall on the scale of those 2 qualities when – not if – catastrophe catches me.

β€œWe don’t rise to the level of our expectations, we fall to the level of our training.”

― Archilochus

Stay safe and healthy, everyone.

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23 responses to “What Swims In Uncertain Waters”

  1. CJ Antichow Avatar
    CJ Antichow

    Thank you for this Michael and please excuse my ignorance, I guess I live under a big old rock or arctic glacier maybe up here…I didn’t know this was going on! Looks terrible…so sad…the devastation and lives lost….do you know why it went so far inland? I thought these things tend to stick to the coast. Or am I way off by saying that?

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      no, no ignorance at all CJ. I and MANY MANY people had no idea this could have happened. and what’s more, I was like you in the assumption that the worst would be at the coast and a little inland:

      https://x.com/AlexLibbywx/status/1841487091135648083

      with this new hurricane bearing down it’s a little unsettling.

  2. lyndhurstlaura Avatar

    I feel so bad for everybody caught up in this. My little problems pale into insignificance beside it. πŸ™

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      Hi Laura! for some reason, this was put into my spam folder along with other comments. I feel badly about this too, especially since there was no way I, even in my imagination, I could have foreseen that.

      hopefully the problems we have never avalanche into bigger issues such as this. but all we can do is just be careful. hope your week is going well!

      1. lyndhurstlaura Avatar

        No problem, Michael. I guess it’s difficult for any of us not directly threatened to comprehend it. Hopefully the worst is past now and people can begin rebuilding. Stay safe yourself and best wishes for your week too. πŸ™‚

  3. Ana Daksina Avatar

    It’s a delicate balance, isn’t it, between preparation and cocreation? My own position on that balance is made actually a little easier in that personal cataclysm has already left me with little choice other than to be as prepared as possible for same.

    That said, there is no actual preparation possible which covers every contingency ~ so after I let myself be guided into personal preparation, I relax, allowing for the divine to work in my life.

    To balance the tendency which preparation has to bleed over into unwanted cocreation, I’ve long developed the habit of affirming during functions of preparation that they are being carried out for purposes of prevention. One of my favorite little mantras (though grammatically incorrect) for this purpose is, “Prepared enough, never have to meet the enemy.”

    The Hopi say: “When the waters start to rise, jump in. See who’s in there with you.”

    Bright blessings, brother!

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      haha! I love that saying by the Hopi you shared. also, your mantra is a wise one precisely because I believe in avoiding the enemy as much as possible and only engaging when a strategic purpose has to be obtained.

      I wish a much deserved respite for you. you’ve been busy the last few days and the outside world isn’t being of help from what I can see. sending blessed wishes right back to you.

      1. Ana Daksina Avatar

        My thanks, brother πŸ™

  4. NocturnalTwins Avatar

    I’ve never lived in a mountainous region. It’s scary to see the damage done. Supplies and help can’t get in. Rescue takes longer. Repairs take longer. Roads and bridges that are washed out – that could mean months of repairs.

    I live in a condo in the heart of my city. I do have extra water, flashlights, blankets, a bit of extra food, batteries. I should double check to see what else I need.

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      if watching apocalypse movies has taught me anything, it’s that anywhere you go – whether city or rural – it has its own dangers. i think i’ll go watch some recent apocalypse survival movies and I will take notes on the best human antagonist and assume his/her persona when the time comes. lol

      1. NocturnalTwins Avatar

        Probably the one thing I don’t have a lot of defence is looting. If there was a major riot and looting in my neighbourhood, it would be easy to break into the lobby of my condo. The one security guard can’t do much against a mob.

  5. Robin Ward Avatar

    That’s good advice, Michael. I live in a burb of Orlando, FL. Our generator is ready to go.

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      oh wow! do stay safe! I know y’all are always prepped. hopefully power&light co. will get everyone that needs it back up and running sooner rather than later.

  6. ibarynt Avatar

    I’m not sure how I missed this email. I’ll have to check the settings. Are you within the vicinity of these hurricanes? I saw pictures and they’re devastating.

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      hi! no i’m far away from the hurricanes thankfully. but yes, they were quite an unfortunate sight to behold. :/

      1. ibarynt Avatar

        That’s good to know you’re out of harm’s way yet unfortunate. Which part of the country are you in Mike?

          1. ibarynt Avatar

            Oh thankyou so much for these. Another hearty laugh.

            NY means heavy snow then.

            1. Michael Williams Avatar

              πŸ™‚ you’re welcome.

              it sounds strange but we have not really gotten significant sustained snowfalls for the last 20 years or so.

              you would have to go up further north or away from the coasts to see that. I would say, anything geographically above New Haven, Connecticut is where you’ll start to see more occurrences of picturesque snow scenery

              1. ibarynt Avatar

                So you’ve been saved from snow shoveling πŸ˜….

  7. Nancy Homlitas Avatar

    Thank you for the valuable information for generator prep. πŸ™‚

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      Hi Nancy! you’re very welcome. I’m not sure how your comment passed through my notifications but I’m glad I found it. 

      Hopefully, hurricane season won’t bring anymore craziness for the remainder of the year. Have a great day!

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