As many of you know, America is about to celebrate its culturally unique pseudo annual holiday. SuperBowl Sunday has been a staple of the American experience since its heavy commercialization starting around the mid 1970s.

There’s going to be a lot of socializing and, of course, alot of eating. SuperBowl feasts have gotten bigger over the years as many people opt to home host extravagant watch parties. This year, instead of a party at a chain restaurant, I’ll be with friends at one of their houses. For people like me, life defining conditions take on new forms with gatherings like this. Where I was concerned with heartbreak in my younger years, the prodigious nacho dishes created by my friends now have me worried about heartburn. Additionally, Superbowl Sunday is no longer a struggle between the top 2 teams of America’s premiere football conferences, rather – as the title of the post suggests – it’s now a test of how well I pace my stomach for the inevitable rabble of bbq chicken, meats and tortillas.

Being in NJ, I am socially obligated to root for either the NY Giants/Jets or Philadelphia Eagles should they make it to the big game regardless of the team I root for personally. But I have a feeling – nay – I am 100% positive the Philadelphia Eagles are going to win this game.

Coincidentally, there may be some of you that are perplexed with the rules of American football and only see it as a collision of men with helmets and shoulder pads. There is an order to this chaos, I promise. But for the sake of value, I’ll suggest a way for you to enjoy it if :

you don’t want to drown in the media induced fawning of the teams, their players or their overarching dramatic storylines going into the game

or you’re only looking forward to the commercials during the game

or you’re unsure of the game rules but want to meaningfully participate in the technical discussions

The only statistic that you should pay attention to is the 1st (First) Down Conversion number of both teams – how many first downs they have as the game progresses. This statistic is the proxy tell-all about a team’s touchdown scoring potential (how well they pass, how well they run) while conversely showing how poorly the other team is faring from defending their goal area. This further impacts the time one team possesses the ball – a strong indicator of victory. So, if you want to get a sense of how the game is going, and who’s gaining/holding momentum look at the 1st Down Conversion battle. Whichever team has more 1st Down Conversions than the other at that point is the team more than likely controlling the game. Finally, as the gap of 1st Down conversions widen between the two, the victory will most likely be assured to the team with more conversions.

Enjoy the weekend – and the game if you’re watching!

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26 responses to “Super “Bowel” Sunday & How To Guage The Game From A Technical Standpoint”

  1. CJ Antichow Avatar
    CJ Antichow

    Conversion-shmersion, I’m only in it for the food, (unfortunately it’s me that prepares all that food).

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      lol ๐Ÿ˜€ i can’t wait for the nachos and dip

  2. Ann Coleman Avatar

    I have to admit, I haven’t been as interested in the Super Bowl since the Rams left St. Louis. But my grandson is an avid Chiefs fan, so I’ll be watching this year and rooting for them. (Like all grandmas, I like to see my grandchildren happy!) And of course I’ll also be partaking of the the traditional Super Bowl snacks!

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      i wonder too why the Rams left st. louis. i always felt like it was a really great place for them!
      as for the Chiefs i have to admit, they are very fun to watch. my friend’s husband is a HUGE Chiefs fan so i’m sure this will resolve itself peacefully at the party come sunday hahaha.

  3. camilla wells paynter Avatar

    Hahaha! I’d completely forgotten that. (I hate ketchup, too, and I’ve been accused of being un-American on both counts). My eyes glazed over when I got to “first down conversion.” But it remains to be seen if I’ll get suckered into watching the game. ๐Ÿ˜‰

    Have fun. . . and by all means, pace yourself!

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      lol, ah! the NFL glaze – it’s a known phenomenon trust me; i’m guilty of it myself lol ๐Ÿ˜€

      i don’t know. to be honest with you it’s starting to become like New Year’s. not really sure i want to get crazy over it but theres still enough people in my family/social circle that regards it as something special.

      1. camilla wells paynter Avatar

        To be fair, I once dreamed which two teams would end up facing each other — before the final game to determine that had happened. I woke up thinking “Packers and Steelers, eh? Aren’t those American football teams?” (I’ve been a US citizen since birth. I’m just really that clueless.) Unfortunately from a financial standpoint I cannot dream precognitively on demand! ๐Ÿ˜‰

        1. Michael Williams Avatar

          ๐Ÿ˜€ lol! if only such an ability existed, right? then again…i’m not sure anyone would dare go public with it right???

          1. camilla wells paynter Avatar

            I’d def keep it on the downlow. But honestly, it only happened once. I don’t even follow football. ๐Ÿ™‚

  4. thingsihavethoughtof Avatar

    Wow, I think I learned something! I’ll look out for the stats when I watch the reply:-) I think it’s on around 7am here so it will be the replay.

    Also, Nachos, Tortillas, or any ‘Corn Chip’ gets me these days too, I try to avoid! Most likely I’ll just be on the couch eating a toasted ham and cheese sandwich, trying to understand 1st Down Conversions;-)

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      yes! absolutely! enjoy the game!

  5. NocturnalTwins Avatar

    I was going to count the number of Taylor Swift sightings when a team has possession of the ball. If Taylor appears a lot more on TV when Philly has the ball then I know Philly will win. It’s a bit out of the box but I think I’m right.

    *hugs*

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      that may very well be a strong correlation! trying to influence the legion of taylor fans to engage with the game!

  6. noga noga Avatar

    Good post. Well done. Good luck Mike

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      thank you Noga! ๐Ÿ™‚

  7. Ashley Avatar

    Well, Michael, who ever you support, I hope there is a good game ahead and may the best team win! ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      i don’t want to chance offending you or anyone so i’ll just say I also keep an eye on EPL as i’m happy with my squad there right now. ;D

  8. Nancy Homlitas Avatar

    My football-loving son likes the Eagles (but his favorite team is the Saints), so I’ll be rooting for the Eagles. KC appears to have gotten too many breaks. Anyway, all the “Swifties” will be squealing for KC and I wouldn’t want them to have to squeal any louder. That distracts from the game. Have fun at your Superbowl party! ๐Ÿ™‚

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      thanks Nancy! i’ll be sampling the food more than the game itself but I’m happy for my friends that the Eagles have another shot at Kansas City. If they don’t attempt to make it a track meet against the Chiefs and keep the score as low as possible, I know the Eagles will win.

  9. Nancy Homlitas Avatar

    ๐Ÿฆ…๐ŸŒฎ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ—

  10. ibarynt Avatar

    I’m sure the heartburn is worth it ๐Ÿ˜…. That sounds a little like soccer when you talk about possession but with soccer, a fluke goal can happen at the last second. I still don’t understand American football ๐Ÿคฃ

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      hehe ๐Ÿ˜€ i don’t remember how I started to understand American football but I will tell you that I had to look up the rules in an encyclopedia when I was young haha ๐Ÿ˜€

      1. ibarynt Avatar

        That’s dedication Mike ๐Ÿ˜…

  11. Laura Avatar

    I love the โ€œsocially obligatedโ€ part ๐Ÿคฃ I will be working, soooo thereโ€™s that! Enjoy if youโ€™re watching, Mike! Did you place any bets? ๐Ÿ˜€

    1. Michael Williams Avatar

      ๐Ÿ˜†

      https://photos.smugmug.com/photos/i-qMtSqMt/0/KZz9cLnRc4F7Fpxjwpdw8XBqGvdB5GtMhqJK7zLmR/O/i-qMtSqMt.jpg

      to be honest, I’m expecting a very low scoring game. like 17-12 eagles. so you probably won’t be missing anything!

      1. Laura Avatar

        Hahaha!! Watching it now at work ๐Ÿคฃ ๐Ÿ˜† oh lord *facepalm*

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